So a short victorious war? Seems I've heard that one before...

And if China's economy *isn't* going to collapse - what happens to its both export driven and import dependent economy when it starts a war and gets sanctioned? The US has been backing away from protecting all nations' blue water shipping (part of the '44 Bretton Woods Accords) since Bush Sr. - as evidenced by the change in naval tonnage from destroyers to carrier groups. What happens when it just stops doing that - or worse, decides to be a trade 'spoiler'?